Posts Tagged ‘OHL’

IMG_3658If the Whalers want to make the playoffs this season, they have to win this morning.

No, that’s not an over-dramatization, the Whalers are two points behind the 8th place Spirit and with nine games remaining, they face Saginaw four times. That is a huge eight points needed to move up to the eight spot.

Can the Whalers win? The short answer, yes. The Whalers have been playing better hockey in the past ten games, going 5-4-1-0 while the Saginaw Spirit are currently licking their wounds from a 12-3 shellacking from the London Knights, and have choked to a 1-9-0-0 record in the past ten games.

The Whalers play Saginaw this morning before hosting them at Compuware Arena on Thursday. The other team in the mix is Windsor, and they face the Soo on Thursday. All I’m saying is that there is a decent chance that the Whalers can move up to the eighth spot by the end of Thursday’s game.

I’ll repeat it again. If the Whalers want to make the playoffs this season, they have to win this morning.

 

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Explanation of what this is.

Last Post’s Results 

Twelve games remain for the Plymouth Whalers and they are fighting to make it to the playoffs for their final season in the OHL. Evidence that this team has not given up can be seen last Saturday where the team won the faceoff and broke the tie with 5.3 seconds remaining in the third.

The Whalers continue their Home-Home-Away against Sarnia tonight looking to gain ground on slumping Saginaw. Let’s look at tonight’s games.


Thursday, February 26th, 2015

  • Matchup | Ideal Result | Actual Result | Playoff % Effect
  • Ottawa @ Windsor | Ottawa Reg. Win | *** | ****%
  • Sarnia @ Plymouth | Plymouth Reg. Win | *** | ****%

Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chance

  • Before Games: 5.4%
  • After Games: ****%
  • Change: ****%

Explanation of what this is.

Yesterday’s Results 


Saturday, January 17th, 2015

  • Matchup | Ideal Result | Actual Result | Playoff % Effect
  • Sudbury @ Plymouth | Plymouth Reg. Win | xxxx | +0.4%
  • Guelph @ Saginaw | Guelph Reg. Win | xxxx | +0.7%
  • Kitchener @ Windsor | Kitchener Reg. Win | xxxx | +0.2%

Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chance

  • Before Games: 2.7%
  • After Games: xxxx%
  • Change: xxxx%

Explanation of what this is.

Yesterday’s Results 


Friday, January 16th, 2015

  • Matchup | Ideal Result | Actual Result | Playoff % Effect
  • Windsor @ London | London Reg. Win | London 5 – Windsor 2 | +0.3%
  • Sudbury @ Saginaw | Sudbury Reg. Win | Saginaw 4 – Sudbury 1 | -0.4%
  • Plymouth @ Sarnia | Plymouth Reg. Win | Sarnia 5 – Plymouth 2 | -1.2%
  • Oshawa @ Kitchener | Oshawa Reg. Win | Kitchener 3 – Oshawa 2 | -0.2%

Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chance

  • Before Games: 4.7%
  • After Games: 2.7%
  • Change: –2.0%

Explanation of what this is.

Yesterday’s Results 


Sunday, January 10th, 2015

  • Matchup | Ideal Result | Actual Result | Playoff % Effect
  • Kitchener @ Guelph | Guelph Reg. Win | xxxx | +4.0%

Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chance

  • Before Games: 3.9%
  • After Games: xxxx%
  • Change: xxxx%

I saw this in the Detroit Red Wings subreddit and thought it would be perfect here. Here’s the idea:

The Standings Game is something I put together every day for this subreddit so we can keep track of our race to a playoff berth. It is essentially a list of the most ideal results for all NHL games (with respect to Detroit’s position in the standings) on a given night. I will only assign ideal outcomes to games that affect the Eastern Conference standings.

I will also make a note of which games are most important to our current situation in the standings. These will mostly be divisional games, however they can also include games where a team is threatening to remove us from a Wild Card position, or games with a significant statistical impact on Detroit’s playoff chances.

At the end of each night’s schedule, I will update the list with the actual results, as well as indicate how the game affected our statistical probability of making the playoffs. Games that have an insignificant or near-zero effect on our standings will be denoted with a +/-0.0% value. Games regarding teams that have already clinched a playoff berth or been statistically eliminated will not be listed, unless their opponent is of relevance to Detroit’s standings.

Please note that there might be some numbers that don’t quite make sense, or percentages that may change in the middle of an evening of games. I’ll do my best to update and explain these, but if anything seems off or confusing, feel free to ask!

Note: all ideal results are assumed to be regulation victories, unless otherwise noted.

So I will consult Sports Club Stats and try to show who we should root for as the Whalers try to dig out of the hole that they are in and make the playoffs for a 24th straight year.


Saturday, January 10th, 2015

  • Matchup | Ideal Result | Actual Result | Playoff % Effect
  • Windsor @ Kingston | Kingston Reg. Win |   Windsor 3 – Kingston 2  (OT) | -0.3%
  • North Bay @ Saginaw | North Bay Reg. Win | North Bay 3 – Saginaw 2  | +0.8%
  • Guelph @ Sarnia | Guelph Reg. Win | Guelph 3 – Sarnia 5 | -0.1%
  • SSM @ Plymouth | Plymouth Reg. Win | SSM 3 – Plymouth 0 | -1.2%

Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chance

  • Before Games: 5.5%
  • After Games: 3.9%
  • Change: -1.6%

This is what happens. Scott was in town to play in the Whalers Alumni game and we were lucky enough to be able to strap a GoPro camera to his mask.