Eleven Games Remaining; 20 points remaining!

Posted: February 21, 2014 in 2013-14, Whalers

Kitchener is not going away. Their wins against Erie and Windsor are proof that they are fighting to take a playoff spot from the Whalers. The Whalers have not backed down. While Plymouth did have a brutal game against the Storm on Monday, they were able to regroup and pull off a 5-1 win over the Greyhounds on Wednesday.

The magic number is down to 20 points. I have had some questions about how I have come to this number. It is really quite simple. Take the  points of the ninth place team (N), look at the games remaining and multiply that number by two. (R*2). Add those two numbers, plus one to get the number of points that it would take to beat the ninth place team (=P+1=B). Take that number and subtract the number of points that the eighth place team  has (E) and you have your magic number. (B-E=M) The math formula looks something like this: N+(R*2)=P+1=B

To put it in use let’s look at Kitchener. They have 47 points with 11 games remaining. 47+(11*2)=69 points. That means that 70 is the number of points needed to clinch a playoff spot. The Whalers have 50 right now and just need another 20 points to clinch a spot. Everytime Kitchener loses  means that another two points come off the number needed to get that final playoff spot.

Take away the game Kitchener and Plymouth still have against each other and it could boil down to the Whalers winning five games and Kitchener losing five games. Which might just be what happens. I see Kitchener losing to Guelph twice, Erie, London and Windsor. Also I can see that Plymouth will win tonight against the Sting, and also put up two points when they face the Colts, Ice Dogs, Spirit, and the Attack.

Plymouth does not need to win every game the rest of the season, but they cannot sit back and wait for the Rangers to do their dirty work for them. Tuesday night will be the most important game remaining in the season for both teams. That’s Tuesday however, the Whalers and Kitchener both have two games this weekend before they meet. let’s take a look at tonights matchups.

Plymouth @ Sarnia
The Sting have only been able to get a point in the past ten games. This, however, does not mean the Whalers can take it easy. If they can play like they did in the Soo, they will walk away with two points.
Prediction : Plymouth 6 – Sarnia 3

Owen Sound @ Kitchener
The Rangers have been doing well on home ice and have been 5-0-1 in the past six games. No reason to expect that Kitchener will lose this game.
Prediction: Owen Sound 3 – Kitchener 4 OT

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